Titolo | Neural networks ensembles for short-term load forecasting |
---|---|
Tipo di pubblicazione | Presentazione a Congresso |
Anno di Pubblicazione | 2011 |
Autori | De Felice, Matteo, and Yao X. |
Conference Name | IEEE SSCI 2011 - Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence - CIASG 2011: 2011 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence Applications in Smart Grid |
Conference Location | Paris |
ISBN Number | 9781424498949 |
Parole chiave | Building load, Building occupancy, Electric load forecasting, Electric power, Forecasting, Lower average, Maximum error, Neural networks, Seasonal models, Short term load forecasting, Smart power grids |
Abstract | This paper proposes a new approach for short-term load forecasting based on neural networks ensembling methods. A comparison between traditional statistical linear seasonal model and ANN-based models has been performed on the real-world building load data, considering the utilisation of external data such as the day of the week and building occupancy data. The selected models have been compared to the prediction of hourly demand for the electric power up to 24 hours for a testing week. Both neural networks ensembles achieved lower average and maximum errors than other models. Experiments showed how the introduction of external data had helped the forecasting. © 2011 IEEE. |
URL | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-80051581220&doi=10.1109%2fCIASG.2011.5953333&partnerID=40&md5=4ad9011c1f5c153908ad62ae499f7312 |
DOI | 10.1109/CIASG.2011.5953333 |
Citation Key | DeFelice201161 |